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By Pat Curry
Bankrate.com
Consumers who have been turned down for credit or who've paid a
higher interest rate because a scant credit history gave them a
low credit score have another shot now at more favorable terms.
Fair Isaac Co., creator and owner of the FICO score that is widely
used in the mortgage, auto loan and credit card industry, has created
a new score designed to predict credit risk for individuals with
little or no credit history. The new FICO expansion score draws
on information in an array of small credit reporting agencies outside
the realm of the three major credit bureaus, says Craig Dillon,
vice president of scoring solutions at Fair Isaac. The new score
draws on data from industries such as pay day loan companies, rent-to-own
stores and banking organizations that share information about people
who abuse overdraft protection on checking accounts.
The company's market research, which is confirmed by others in
the credit industry, indicates that while about 160 million consumers
have enough information on file to generate a valid FICO score,
as many as another 50 million do not. The consumers who might get
a break with the new score include recent immigrants to the United
States (whose good payment histories from their home countries don't
transfer to the U.S. credit reporting system), college students,
new divorcees and widows, those with low incomes, and people whose
cultures don't trust financial institutions or large national organizations,
Dillon says.
A FICO score is a three-digit number used to predict how risky
it is to extend credit to an individual. A statistical algorithm
that compares a person's credit history to those of millions of
other consumers, it uses a scale from 300 to 850. Most people will
have scores between 600 and 800 -- if there's enough information
in the credit bureau records to generate a score. That information
comes from such places as mortgage companies, credit card issuers
and auto financing companies.
Without sufficient information at a credit bureau to generate a
FICO score, or so little information that it produces a very low
score, many consumers either are turned down for credit or pay more
for it. They might have never paid their rent or their utilities
late, but those companies generally don't report payment data to
the credit bureaus.
Many times, the need to gather a year's worth of rent receipts or
utility payments discourages borrowers from even trying to get a
mortgage, says Randall Johnson, CEO of Florida-based Market Street
Mortgage Corp. "To have (Fair Isaac) convert that information
to a credit score is a real help to the industry. If it operates
the way it should, it should be a real win-win."
The new score won't help individuals who have a low FICO score
because they've messed up their credit by paying their bills late
or walking away from them.
"This isn't the great fix for those who have charge-offs or
a poor payment history," says Cate Williams, vice president
for education for Money Management International, a Texas-based
credit counseling agency. "It rewards people who weren't in
the credit market, or preferred not to be in the credit market.
Believe it or not, some people don't like credit."
Mortgage lenders say the prospect of having another tool available
to simplify the underwriting process would be a welcome change to
the current process of collecting data by hand. It's time consuming,
labor intensive and subject to fraud, says David Motley, executive
vice president production manager of Fort Worth-based Colonial National
Mortgage.
"I'd love to see it work," Motley says. "If this
is effective and performs as well as the regular FICO, it will lower
the cost of credit and put more people in houses ... This will make
this type of loan more fundable and improve the pricing."
The score is available both to lenders and direct to consumers
at www.myfico.com. The cost for consumers to get their score is
$12.95, says Fair Isaac spokesman Craig Watts.
Will the 'good news' make it into the report?
Brad Scriber, lead researcher on a credit scoring accuracy study
for the Consumer Federation of America, says that while it's encouraging
to see an opportunity for millions of consumers to get greater access
to credit, many of the industries from which the data is being collected
have a history of only tracking customers who don't pay on time.
"One of the great strengths of mainstream credit industry
in this country is if you do things right, you get rewarded,"
Scriber says. "If it's relying solely on negative data, it
could hurt consumers doubly."
It is difficult to get positive information because it takes more
energy to collect, file and report, Watts says. Plus, competitors
don't want to give away information on their good customers. But
Fair Isaac's data sources do provide both positive and negative
credit information, and they have confidence that the data is strong
enough to provide a valid score.
Others aren't so sure.
"I'm not confident that the sources of the underlying information
are accurate," says Howard Dvorkin, CEO of Consolidated Credit
Counseling, a national nonprofit debt management group. "These
are the people most desperate to get credit and most vulnerable
to life situations that could affect their ability to pay, which
can't be quantified."
That's a stereotype about the underserved credit market that needs
to be erased, Watts says. Fair Isaac's research has shown that the
consumers who lack credit information come from diverse income levels
and educational backgrounds.
"It concerns me that people think that the only people this
applies to are subprime (people with bad credit histories) and the
very poor," he says. "They haven't engaged in a formal
relationship with a bank. That's the only thing they all have in
common."
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