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Wed Aug 25, 2004
By Kazunori Takada
TOKYO (Reuters) - The dollar recouped earlier losses against the
yen on Thursday, but currencies shuttled in narrow ranges as investors
awaited direction from U.S. growth data and comments from Federal
Reserve chief Alan Greenspan.
The dollar slipped to a session low of 109.89 yen in early trade
as Japanese stocks continued to rally and after data showed a larger-than-expected
trade surplus in Japan, but the currency later found support on
buying by Japanese importers.
"There is buying at the lower end of the range and selling
by exporters at the upper end," said Toshiaki Kimura, chief
manager of the forex division at Mitsubishi Trust and Banking.
At 2244 EDT, the dollar bought 110.10/15 yen compared with 110.14
yen late in New York trade.
The euro was at 132.98/03 yen versus 133.05. It fell to a seven-and-a-half
week low of 132.03 yen on Wednesday.
The European single currency was little changed at $1.2080/82,
within sight of the two-and-a-half-week low of $1.2053 hit on Wednesday.
The yen got a slight boost from news that Japan's trade surplus
rose 44.2 percent in July from a year earlier to 1.1378 trillion
yen ($10.33 billion), up for a 13th consecutive month and topping
expectations for 882.4 billion yen.
"As long as the trade surplus is there, the yen faces a strengthening
bias," said Yukihiro Shimoyamada, a forex trader at UFJ Bank.
Tokyo's Nikkei stock average ended morning trade up 0.49 percent,
or 54.47 points The Nikkei rose 240 points in the previous three
days.
GREENSPAN WATCH
Traders said the market was waiting for U.S. second-quarter growth
data and a speech by the Fed chief, both slated for Friday.
"We had bullish comments from (Federal Reserve Board Governor
Ben) Bernanke, so Greenspan could give upbeat comments," said
Kimura of Mitsubishi Trust.
"If that is the case, at least in the short term, it will help
the dollar."
Bernanke said late on Monday that rising oil prices would weigh
on U.S. economic growth but the increases seen so far would not
derail the expansion.
Some traders said Greenspan might also shed light on the condition
of the U.S. jobs market, a vital element for the Fed when deciding
monetary policy.
If U.S. jobs figures due out next week are weak for the second
consecutive month, the dollar could be sold on fading expectations
for further tightening of interest rates when the Fed meets later
in September, dealers said.
Currencies showed little reaction to weekly capital flows data
for Japan.
Japanese investors were net buyers of foreign bonds last week after
net sales a week earlier. Meanwhile, foreign investors scaled back
buying of Japanese bonds, after logging huge net buying of more
than 1.1 trillion yen in the week ended Aug. 13. ($1=110.10 yen)
(Additional reporting by Chikako Mogi)
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